https://www.yesnoodds.com/Prediction market prices, read as probabilities — calibration, data, and records.https://www.yesnoodds.com/insights/how-prediction-market-prices-become-probabilitieshttps://www.yesnoodds.com/insights/how-prediction-market-prices-become-probabilitiesThu, 03 Sep 2026 12:00:00 +0000A 63-cent YES share is the market saying 63% — here's the mechanism that makes prices probabilities, the frictions that bend it, and how well it calibrates.